Sunday, December 30, 2007

Bowl Game Reviews for Saturday, Dec 29th

Meinke Car Care Bowl-

Prediction:
UConn, 23 Wake Forest, 17
Actual Score:
UConn, 10 Wake Forest, 24

Huskies offense never got going averaging only only 3.6 yards per play and totaling 213 yards while the Demon Deacons almost doubled them up with 412 yards of offense. UConn's lone touchdown was in the first quarter on a Larry Taylor punt return. Josh Adams looks a a great back for Wake going forward.


Liberty Bowl-

Prediction:
Central Florida, 20 Miss State, 24
Actual Score:
Central Florida, 3 Miss State, 10

It was one of those games that had 3 or 4 plays on defense or special teams for each side that could've changed the pace of the game. Only, poor quarterback play kept any momentum from ever being built. The Bulldogs had karma on their side with Sly Croom coaching on the 25th anniversary of his mentor's Bear Bryant's last game as a coach, the 1975 Liberty Bow.


Alamo Bowl-

Prediction:
Texas A&M, 20 Penn State, 31
Actual Score:
Texas A&M, 17 Penn State, 24

Evan Royster of all players sealed this game with a long td run late for Joe Pa. I think this was Rodney Kinlaw's coming out party. He looked great at times with some of the best footwork out of any back I've seen so far this season. He might have propelled himself into a first day pick with that performance.


For Bowl Season-
Straight Up: 10-4
Against the Spread: 5-8-1
Over/Under: 8-6

Saturday, December 29, 2007

2007 Sun Bowl

2007 Sun Bowl

Oregon, 8-4 vs. South Florida, 9-3


This marks the first and only time in the history of football that a team is hoping that a Leaf will be healthy enough to play quarterback. Brady Leaf is doubtful for the game and Matt Kempt will probably start.

I don't think Oregon's 5th string QB will be enough. They're in the game because of the Heisman quality performance of Dennis Dixon throughout the season and he's not going to be playing anytime soon.

This would be a nice way for the Bulls to cap off they're miracle season. I think they'll do it, but Oregon's defense is underrated and Mike Belloti is a great game day coach especially when given time to prepare. Oregon should have a short field to play on a few times, Grothe and the offensive can make costly mistakes. I just think that the Bulls have too much offense on the field in the end.

Prediction:
Oregon, 20 South Florida, 27

Oregon +6, O/U 52

2007 Independence Bowl

2007 Independence Bowl ($1.1 million payout)

Alabama, 6-6 vs. Colorado, 6-6 (Colorado +4)

Mike Shula was fired from Alabama in 2006 for going 6-6 and making the Independence bowl. Nick Saban went 6-6, losing their last 4 including to Louisiana-Monroe, and should be thankful that they made it to Shreveport for one of the traditionally worst bowl games of the year. Look for Bobby Petrino to have a similar effect, proabaly worse, next year at Arkansas (that makes Nick Saban, Steve Spurrier, Les Miles AND Bobby Petrino in the same conference. Phil Fulmer is suddenly a nobody as far as the SEC is concerned).

The Nate Longshore Theory comes into play in this one. John Parker-Wilson and Longshore could switch teams tomarrow and no one would notice. Parker-Wilson is more moblie, but not more effective. He makes bad throws at bad times. Something that is very hard for a quarteback to really fix at any point in their career.

Colorado hasn't traveled well in recent bowl seasons, and finished the season in a slump themselves going 1-4 in their last 5. Their only win coming by way of a 65-51 shootout against Nebraska. They pose no real threat in the passing game, as Cody Hawkins may not be as talented as Parker-Wilson or Longshore but seems to make as many big mistakes late in games.

That might be enough to be the difference in this game. If DJ Hall is able to make big plays downfield than Bama will have the advantage. And considering that Colorado's lockdown CB Terrence Wheatly is coming off a broken toe, he should be able to do just that.

I think this game will be alot higher scoring than most think, even though the Buff's D which got tired late in the season will be refreshed. This one is a coinflip at best, and when in doubt, take the points.

Prediction:
Alabama, 30 Colorado, 31

2007 Armed Forces Bowl

2007 Armed Forces Bowl ($750,000 payout)

California, 6-6 vs. Air Force, 9-3

Cal -4

I'm looking at the skill level of the players on each team. Cal has 10-13 players who will most likely be playing on Sundays by the fall of 2010. Air Force has MAYBE one. And I think that Air Force is going to flat out win this game. And it's not because of heart or courage or any of those "Rudy" esque intangibles.

here's why

- cal gets no push from front 4, Tedford b4 season "we can get to the QB with our front 4"
- turnovers late in games
- middle of the road at everything
- 0-5 ATS in last 5
-Forsett had great year (1403y 13td)
-all on Longshore, only 5 sacks allowed (11ints in final 6 games, cal went 1-5)
-109th in tackles for loss, 5per, not good against option
-DeCoud hits hard
-LBs have great athleticsim and speed and size
-no Tom Schnider, kicking game might struggle

-ball hawk in CB Carson Bird, 6ints 3fum rec
-2nd in rushing to Navy
-less triple option, more zone blocking and scheming, a little more diversified with the pass this year, up 50 attempts
-first year coordinator changed to more blitzing on defense
-26 turnovers, play well in short yardage situations
-9-0 when someone runs for 100+
-26 seniors

Prediction:
Cal, 26 Air Force, 31

2007 Alamo Bowl

2007 Alamo Bowl ($2.25 million payout)

Penn State, 8-4 vs. Texas A&M, 7-5

Prediction:
Penn State, 31 Texas A&M, 20

PennState -5, 52 O/U

2007 Meinke Car Care Bowl

2007 Meinke Car Care Bowl ($750,000 payout)

Wake Forest, 8-4 vs. Connecticut, 9-3

Uconn had a share of the Big East Title this year. I think they're overlooked while the Demon Deacons had 10 non-offensive TDs. Deacons will need one of those to win this one.

Prediction-
Wake Forest, 17 Connecticut, 23

WF +3, Over/Under 47

Bowl Game Reviews, Friday, 29th 2007

Champs Sports Bowl-

Prediction:
Michigan State, 27 Boston College, 30
Actual Score:
Michigan State, 21 Boston College, 24


Texas Bowl-
Prediction:
Houston, 30 TCU, 24
Actual Score:
Houston, 13 TCU, 20


Emerald Bowl-
Prediction:
Maryland, 22 Oregon State, 31
Actual Score:
Maryland, 14 Oregon State, 21


For Bowl Season-
Straight Up: 8-3
Against the Spread: 3-7-1
Over/Under: 5-6