Saturday, December 29, 2007

2007 Armed Forces Bowl

2007 Armed Forces Bowl ($750,000 payout)

California, 6-6 vs. Air Force, 9-3

Cal -4

I'm looking at the skill level of the players on each team. Cal has 10-13 players who will most likely be playing on Sundays by the fall of 2010. Air Force has MAYBE one. And I think that Air Force is going to flat out win this game. And it's not because of heart or courage or any of those "Rudy" esque intangibles.

here's why

- cal gets no push from front 4, Tedford b4 season "we can get to the QB with our front 4"
- turnovers late in games
- middle of the road at everything
- 0-5 ATS in last 5
-Forsett had great year (1403y 13td)
-all on Longshore, only 5 sacks allowed (11ints in final 6 games, cal went 1-5)
-109th in tackles for loss, 5per, not good against option
-DeCoud hits hard
-LBs have great athleticsim and speed and size
-no Tom Schnider, kicking game might struggle

-ball hawk in CB Carson Bird, 6ints 3fum rec
-2nd in rushing to Navy
-less triple option, more zone blocking and scheming, a little more diversified with the pass this year, up 50 attempts
-first year coordinator changed to more blitzing on defense
-26 turnovers, play well in short yardage situations
-9-0 when someone runs for 100+
-26 seniors

Prediction:
Cal, 26 Air Force, 31

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